By Maulik Mody – Bondsquawk.com
August 27, 2010
Second quarter economic growth in the U.S. was revised down to 1.6% from a 2.4% growth rate issued last month. This downwardly revised growth rate still came as a slight surprise as economists had estimated a growth of 1.3% for the second quarter. The slowing expansion, after a rate of 3.7% in the first quarter, furthers concerns that the recovery is losing momentum. The GDP numbers and Bernanke’s speech caused markets to fluctuate early in the day.
The component of the GDP that improved since last quarter was consumer spending. The largest contributor to GDP, accounting for almost 70% of the economy, grew at a 2% annual rate, upwardly revised from 1.6% reported earlier. Other major revisions in the components include downward revisions to inventory and exports and an upward revision to imports. The GDP Price Index grew at 1.9% while the US GDP Personal Consumption Core Price Index, which is related to consumer spending excluding food and energy costs, rose 1.1% annually, which was in line with expectations.
Among reports from the Commerce Department, corporate earnings barely managed to post gains after several quarters of profits. Corporate profits rose 4.6% in the second quarter, after a 10.5% increase in Q1. Profits after tax came for the second quarter grew by a marginal 0.1%, compared to the 11.4% growth in the first quarter. Broken down to industry, the financials lost 0.1%, as opposed to 1.6% gains in the first quarter.
In other data releases, consumer confidence in August rose less than forecast. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 68.9, higher than 67.8 for July but below the 69.6 expected by economists. Consumer spending being the largest component of the economy, a drop in consumer confidence is associated can affect the recover the most.
The mixed economic data caused stocks to sway below and above yesterday’s close, while Treasuries fall. The S&P is higher at 1058.51, while Dow Jones bounced back above 10,000 to 10097.97 as of 11:51 A.M. ET. The 10-Yr fell considerably as its yield rallied 15 bp to 2.62%. The Long Bond was last seen at 3.65%, 14 bp higher than yesterday.

















